Every closed Trench-variant or Arena-agent paper trade with
confidence ≥ 0.74. Wins-only by default — toggle "Show
losses" to see the full record. Aggregate stats below describe the
complete denominator (wins + losses), not just what's listed.
Hit rates carry Wilson 95% CIs; cumulative P&L carries a
block-bootstrap 95% CI. Math centralised in
src/stats_utils.py; any
number on this page is computable from
trench_core.calibration
and reproducible byte-identical.
Trench Signals — calibrated forecasts on where geopolitics moves markets, every call graded in public when it resolves. Free while the track record builds; one-click unsubscribe.